Battle for the Senate 2012

Battle for the Senate

Current Senate: 53* Democrats | 47 Republicans

• RCP Electoral Map State Changes
• No Toss Ups Map State Changes
• RCP Senate Map Race Changes
• Senate No Toss Ups Race Changes
• RCP House Map

45 Democrats *

Toss Ups 12

Republicans 43

37 Safe or Not Up

7

1

12

1

42 Safe or Not Up

51 Seats Needed For Majority (Recent Race Changes)

Likely Dem
*ME: Open (R)
HI: Open (D)
MI: Stabenow (D)
NJ: Menendez (D)
NM: Open (D)
WA: Cantwell (D)
WV: Manchin (D)
Safe Dem Seats

Leans Dem
FL: Nelson (D)

Toss Up
AZ: Open (R)
CT: Open (D)
IN: Open (R)
MA: Brown (R)
MO: McCaskill (D)
MT: Tester (D)
NV: Heller (R)
ND: Open (D)
OH: Brown (D)
PA: Casey (D)
VA: Open (D)
WI: Open (D)

Leans GOP
NE: Open (D)

Likely GOP
Safe GOP Seats

Democrats		Republicans
Safe	Likely	Safe	Likely
Leans	Toss up	Leans	Toss up
Pick-ups (ME*)		Pick-ups (NE)

* Sen. Joseph Lieberman (I-CT) & Sen. Bernard Sanders (I-VT) currently caucus with the Democrats and former Gov. Angus King is likely to caucus with the Democrats if he wins the open Maine seat in November.

Battle for the Senate - Race Changes
Date	State	Previous Status		New Status	Dems	Toss Ups	GOP
11/3	Pennsylvania	Leans Dem	»»»	Toss Up	45	12	43
10/30	Nebraska	Likely GOP	»»»	Leans GOP	46	11	43
10/30	North Dakota	Leans GOP	»»»	Toss Up	46	11	43
10/29	Massachusetts	Leans Dem	»»»	Toss Up	46	10	44
10/28	North Dakota	Toss Up	»»»	Leans GOP	47	9	44
10/28	Ohio	Leans Dem	»»»	Toss Up	47	9	44
10/26	Massachusetts	Toss Up	»»»	Leans Dem	48	9	43
10/22	Pennsylvania	Toss Up	»»»	Leans Dem	47	10	43
10/19	Ohio	Toss Up	»»»	Leans Dem	46	11	43
10/16	Pennsylvania	Leans Dem	»»»	Toss Up	45	12	43
View Full Race Change Page »

Safe Races
Democrats CA: Feinstein (D) DE: Carper (D) MD: Cardin (D) MN: Klobuchar (D) NY: Gillibrand (D) RI: Whitehouse (D) VT: Sanders (I)	Republicans MS: Wicker (R) TN: Corker (R) TX: Open (R) UT: Hatch (R) WY: Barrasso (R)

Recent Commentary & News Stories

• Sprint to Tight Finish in a Nation Deeply Divided
  Paul West, LA Times
• Obama Camp Touts Historic Ground Game
  Sam Stein, Huffington Post
• Main Street in Revolt
  Salena Zito, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review
• Can Obama Reheat Cooled Voters?
  Margery Eagan, Boston Herald
• Dispatch Poll: Ohio's a Toss-Up
  Darrel Rowland, Columbus Dispatch

See All Commentary & News Stories

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